The Chameleon, my most recent book, is based on nuclear weapon powers Pakistan and India’s long-running dispute over Kashmir. I begin writing this book three years ago and found what I believed to be a location and environment where a nuclear conflict might occur, and where the security of a nuclear-weapon arsenal was a concern. In April of this year, the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) issued its Annual Threat Assessment of the US Intelligence Community (Unclassified). Below is an excerpt from the report.
“INDIA-PAKISTAN: Although a general war between India and Pakistan is unlikely, crises between the two are likely to become more intense, risking an escalatory cycle. Under the leadership of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, India is more likely than in the past to respond with military force to perceived or real Pakistani provocations, and heightened tensions raise the risk of conflict between the two nuclear-armed neighbors, with violent unrest in Kashmir or a militant attack in India being potential flashpoints.”